High 5 Recession-Proof Housing Markets In 2023

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Selecting the best actual property funding so as to add to your portfolio requires ample analysis and intensive data in regards to the market that you just’re investing in. A poor choice may end up in your portfolio dropping considerably in worth. When markets begin to dip, and the economic system enters a recession, choosing the right funding turns into much more vital. 

Probably the most rewarding investments are ones that happen in recession-proof markets, that are areas the place properties are in excessive demand no matter how the economic system is performing. Not each market performs the identical. By investing your cash in properties which can be located in recession-proof markets, you’ll be able to profit from constant rental earnings, reasonable appreciation even in poor financial environments, and continued rental will increase YoY. 

Why Now Is a Nice Time to Make investments

The current market developments point out that 2023 is an efficient time to spend money on actual property so long as you give attention to the best markets. In current months, rates of interest have continued to extend. Nonetheless, these will increase have slowed and should come to a cease by the tip of this yr. Purchaser demand can also be slowing down, which makes it simpler so that you can spend money on actual property with no need to make quite a few bids earlier than having one accepted.

Whereas the present state of the economic system is adversely affecting the true property market as a complete, there are some particular person markets that look like recession-proof, which implies that they are going to proceed to carry out nicely in comparison with the nationwide housing market. 

When figuring out markets which can be thought of to be recession-proof, there are various elements that ought to be thought of, which embody every thing from the common sale value to the inhabitants numbers. The next affords a complete overview of 5 of the highest recession-proof markets you’ll be able to spend money on all through 2023. 

Kansas Metropolis, Missouri

As the biggest metropolis in Missouri, Kansas Metropolis has lengthy been a well-liked vacation spot amongst California residents in addition to people who find themselves shifting from different giant Midwest cities. There are quite a few items of information and statistics that time in the direction of Kansas Metropolis being recession-proof. As an example, the median sale value within the metropolis has continued to extend, which implies that purchaser demand isn’t dropping like it’s in cities and cities that aren’t recession-proof.

kansas city median sales price
Kansas Metropolis, Missouri Housing Market Statistics (2018-2023) – Redfin

In each actual property market, house costs often attain their highest within the late spring and summer season months earlier than dipping barely within the winter months when not many patrons are in the marketplace. Whereas that is additionally the case in Kansas Metropolis, the median sale value has been trending increased for a prolonged time frame. The median sale value as of 2023 is $230,000, which is a YoY improve of round 7%. In June 2022, the median sale value was $285,000.

All through the approaching months, house values in Kansas Metropolis ought to improve since there aren’t any indicators that the present financial local weather is impacting the native actual property market. Although properties have turn out to be dearer in Kansas Metropolis, the median value of $230,000 is very inexpensive in comparison with many standard markets all through the U.S. Understand that rents don’t fall a lot throughout recessions, which provides you the chance to cost comparatively excessive rents even while you’re capable of buy a property at an inexpensive value. 

In January 2023, greater than 400 properties had been bought on this market. Residence gross sales often get near 1,000 per 30 days in the course of the heat summer season months. Over the previous few years, house gross sales within the metropolis have been comparatively constant, which implies that one of the best time of yr so that you can make investments largely will depend on what sort of property you’re shopping for and the way a lot competitors you’re able to cope with. 

Understand that 28% of properties in the marketplace in January 2023 noticed value drops, which was an 11% YoY improve. On this situation, you may have some negotiating energy when trying to acquire a decrease sale value. Over the previous decade, Kansas Metropolis’s inhabitants numbers have steadily elevated. The present inhabitants is nicely over 500,000 and has elevated by greater than 50,000 since 2010. If you happen to’re going to be renting out your funding property, you will be assured that there can be numerous individuals trying to lease. 

Akron, Ohio

Akron is one other standard midwest metropolis with inexpensive house costs that buyers can benefit from. The present median sale value is just below $107,000, which is near the value that it was on the similar time final yr. Whereas house values in most cities often attain their peak in June and July, the house costs in Akron matched the June excessive in September 2022.

One other signal that Akron is a recession-proof actual property market is that the variety of days that properties have remained in the marketplace earlier than being bought has been constant. In January 2022, properties had been in the marketplace for a mean of 33 days earlier than being bought. One yr later, properties are in the marketplace for a mean of 34 days earlier than being bought. 

When a recession happens in markets that aren’t recession-proof, it’s frequent for purchaser demand to drop significantly, which ends up in house stock staying in the marketplace for for much longer than traditional. Even with a recession nearing, Akron’s actual property market is almost sustaining its efficiency when rates of interest had been at their lowest. 

Lehigh Acres, Florida

Lehigh Acres is among the many strongest actual property markets within the U.S. and is right for anybody who’s trying to spend money on actual property throughout 2023. Possible the obvious signal that the Lehigh Acres actual property market is performing nicely is the median sale value of greater than $327,000, which is almost 25% increased than the median sale value in January 2022. 

Although house values are usually at their lowest in January, the median value for a house in Lehigh Acres has solely been barely increased in July, August, and October of final yr. Residence values have risen considerably over the previous decade. In January 2018, the median sale value for a house on this metropolis was $165,000, which implies that the present sale value is almost double. 

If you happen to’re trying to spend money on actual property that can give you constant earnings, the house you find yourself investing in ought to admire in worth over time due to the general well being of the Lehigh Acres market. 

Understand that the inhabitants on this metropolis has risen significantly over the previous decade and can possible proceed to take action within the coming years. In 2011, Lehigh Acres was house to a inhabitants of round 92,000. The full inhabitants has elevated yearly and is now located at just below 125,000. As an investor, extra individuals shifting into town ought to make it simpler so that you can discover tenants and maintain rents excessive.

Indianapolis, Indiana

Indianapolis is one other standard actual property market with inexpensive house values. As of January 2023, the median sale value for a single-family house in Indianapolis is $215,000, which represents a YoY improve of round 1.5%. In reality, there has but to be a single month with out YoY progress in house values in 4 years.

Indianapolis housing market stats
Indianapolis, Indiana Housing Market Statistics (2018-2023) – Redfin

5 years in the past, the median sale value for a house was a bit of over $136,000. By investing within the Indianapolis actual property market, you must have peace of thoughts that your property will admire in worth over time. Houses solely stay in the marketplace for a mean of 33 days earlier than being bought, which signifies that there are various patrons and renters in the marketplace. Patrons who can’t afford to buy a house due to the recession usually tend to lease, which implies that you must have the ability to usher in new tenants with out problem. 

Whereas all properties are being bought comparatively rapidly, properties in standard areas of town go from being listed to pending in simply seven days. Like the opposite cities on this listing, the inhabitants in Indianapolis has been on a gentle incline for the previous decade. In 2013, round 844,000 individuals had been residing in Indianapolis. 

Right this moment, the inhabitants is over 900,000 when taking present estimations into consideration. 

One other indication that the market is recession-proof is the anticipated job progress within the metropolis. The typical fee of employment progress within the entirety of Indiana is round 2% in 2023 and 2024. As compared, Indianapolis is predicted to see employment progress of two.9% for a similar two years. Job progress implies that extra individuals can be shifting into town and trying to lease. 

Birmingham, Alabama

If you happen to’re trying to spend money on a standard actual property market that additionally has inexpensive properties, Birmingham could be the excellent place to look. The median sale value for a single-family house was just below $210,000 in December 2022, which marked a 20.7% improve from the identical month in 2021. If you buy a house in Birmingham, you must obtain a property that can improve in worth as you maintain it. 

Understand that actual property is commonly thought of a hedge towards inflation. At a time when different investments are inclined to drop in worth, actual property values usually improve. It’s also possible to preserve a excessive earnings in a recession-proof market due to the power to cost constant rents. 

The median lease for a one-bedroom condominium in Birmingham is $1,298 as of February 2023, which is a pointy YoY improve of 27%. With this data in thoughts, you may have the chance to purchase at a low value and lease out the property at a value that’s a lot increased than the month-to-month mortgage could be. 

One purpose why Birmingham is a recession-proof market is due to the fixed job progress that town experiences. Over the previous yr, town has had job progress of round 2%. Latest estimates state that job progress within the metropolis in the course of the subsequent decade ought to be round 29%. Investing in a metropolis with excessive job progress implies that you must have the ability to keep away from tenancy points. A sizzling job market usually signifies that the true property market may also be standard.

income population by percent birmingham alabama
Revenue by Inhabitants as a Share in Birmingham, Alabama and the State of Alabama – Finest Locations


Actual property is one sort of funding that you just don’t must cease including to your portfolio when a recession hits. Throughout poor financial occasions, you might be able to maintain your earnings excessive and scale back portfolio losses by investing in markets which can be thought of to be recession-proof. 

The 5 aforementioned markets have all confirmed to be standard locations amongst patrons. If you spend money on one in all these markets, it’s possible that the worth of your property will proceed to extend the longer you maintain it. 

This text is offered by Lease To Retirement


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Be aware By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the creator and don’t essentially signify the opinions of BiggerPockets.

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